2023 Grand Tour General Discussion

[DownUnder]

(03-06-2023 03:12 PM)Lapchik Wrote:  Of those who have been sending in photos as they take them, here are the current scores:
825-52
816-50
821-33
815-53

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Ive always enjoyed playing around with numbers, so when I saw these progressive results, I started to wonder . . .

If these 4 riders are considered as a representative "random" sample, albeit small, then the "average" rider will be scoring around 20 murals each month ( (52+50+33+53)/4/2 ).

During the 2016, 2017, & 2019 GT, there was around a 35% DNF rate each year, so if a similar DNF rate happens in 2023, we could expect around 35 riders to finish this year ( 56*0.65 )

So, 35 riders scoring 20 murals per month means that come 30-September, our RM could have around 6,500 murals to evaluate. ( 35*20*9 )

Now, lets assume that our RM takes only 10 seconds to scan and evaluate each mural for size, bike + flag, artistic content, no-graffiti, no-repeat murals, etc, then the math for that task is 6500*10/60/60 which is around a total of 18 hours of continuous screen time. O.M.G.

Perhaps 3 monthly photo submissions may be worth considering . . .